I’ll take a stab at the win totals set by Vegas for each team in 2016.
49ers Under 5.5
2015 was a struggle, as the 49ers began the rebuilding process. Questions linger about if Colin Kaepernick is happy in San Francisco. All this combined with a new coach means the 49ers will struggle getting less than 5.5 wins.
Bears Over 7.5
Chicago’s defense should be much improved this year. If Cutler can keep his interceptions down, they could have a solid season. They should get eight wins.
Bengals Over 9.5
The Bengals had a super regular season last season but disappointed in the playoffs. They should be able to overcome the losses of Marvin Jones and Mohamed Sanu. Over 9.5 wins.
Bills Under 8
It’s playoffs or bust for Rex Ryan in Buffalo. Tyrod Taylor will have to be really good if the Bills will be competitive. The Bills get less than 8 wins.
Broncos Under 9.5
Lots of change in Denver. Peyton Manning is out and either Mark Sanchez or Paxton Lynch will take over. The Broncos defense will still be really good but the team overall will struggle a little. Less than 9.5 wins.
Browns Under 4.5
New coach Hue Jackson has a huge challenge in front of him. He has at least a temporary solution at quarterback in Robert Griffin III, however Cleveland will be a long term project. Under 4.5 wins.
Buccaneers Over 7
Jameis Winston showed great strides after a rough start to his rookie year. If he is able to continue his growth, the Bucs could be a sleeper for the playoffs. Bucs get more than 7 wins.
Cardinals Over 10
The Cardinals look poised to make another run at the Super Bowl. Falling just short last year they should be laser focus. If Carson Palmer can stay healthy, they should have a good chance to get more than 10 wins.
Chargers Over 6.5
Phillip Rivers is a competitor and last year had to really hurt. With an improved defense the Chargers should be much better this year. Over 6.5 wins.
Chiefs Over 9.5
The Chiefs return a good defense and good old game manager Alex Smith. With the Broncos probably taking a step back, the division should be there for the Chiefs to take. The finish with more than 10 wins.
Colts Under 9.5
This one is a little tricky. Andrew Luck should be 100% to start the season. The AFC South hasn’t been very good lately but all three teams should be better this year. Luck may struggle at times like last year. Colts get less than 9.5 wins.
Cowboys Over 9.5
With Ezekial Elliot will probably be the main guy at running back to start the season. If Romo and Bryant stay healthy, the Cowboys should be in position to make a run at the Super Bowl. More than ten wins.
Dolphins Less 7
New head coach Adam Gase has a talented roster but the Dolphins have a tough schedule. Miami does not get to seven wins this year.
Eagles Under 7
Perhaps a new coach and a new quarterback will get things going in Philly. It will not however, get the to seven wins.
Falcons Under 7.5
Falcons had a great start to last year but struggled afterwards. The struggle will most likely continue this year. Less than 7.5 wins.
Giants Over 8
A new coach should help give a new perspective of the Giants. Eli and Beckham Jr. have big seasons. They get more than eight wins.
Jaguars Under 7.5
The Jags did some good things in the draft and free agency. Their success however will still depend on Blake Bortles and his growth. The Jags don’t get to seven wins this year.
Jets Under 8
Quarterback questions will keep the Jets from having any great success this year.
Lions Under 7.5
No Megatron equals not many wins for the Lions. No way they get to eight wins.
Rams Over 7.5
The Rams have the running game and a great defense. Rookie quarterback Jared Golf just needs to take care of the ball. Jeff Fisher get to at least 8 wins.
Packers Over 10.5
Injuries probably kept the Packers from a potential Super Bowl. Aaron Rodgers should have much more help this year. Packers get to more than ten wins.
Panthers Over 10.5
Cam Newton will have his eyes on the Super Bowl. Their defense should dominate again. More than 10 wins.
Patriots Under 10.5
Assuming Brady’s suspension holds up, the Patriots will have some early losses. Patriots only get to 10 wins.
Raiders Over 8.5
If young quarterback Derek Carr continues his growth the Raiders should be a team on the rise. Look for the Raiders to get to 9 wins or more.
Ravens Even at 8
The Ravens should be ready to bounce back from last year, but eight wins will be all that they get.
Redskins Under 7.5
Kirk Cousins comes back to reality this year. Redskins also player in an improved division.
Saints Over 7
Drew Brees will be determined to get the Saints back to their winning ways. Despite their tough division they get more than seven wins.
Seahawks Over 10.5
Yes Lynch is gone, but this team is still loaded with lots of talent and a great defense. Russel Wilson will get them to more than ten wins.
Steelers Over 10.5
Despite major injuries the Steelers made it deep into the playoffs. With everyone healthy, the Steelers should be a team to beat in the AFC.
Texans Under 8.5
The Texans benefited from a weak division last year. With questions at quarterback, don’t bet on theme to get to eight wins.
Titans Over 5.5
The Titans made some nice moves during the offseason and the draft. Mariota will help them steal a few this year. Titans get 7 wins.
Vikings Under 9.5
A young team that had a very easy schedule last year. Vikings don’t get more than 9 wins this year.